Tuesday, March 28, 2006

Insulting Cisco ad...

I was watching TV the other day and saw this ad from Cisco.

Its the one where a nitwit boss walks into the datacenter and asks about security. The ops guy is a smiling Indian sycophant that say's 'Can I help you sir?' and the boss says something like 'I'm looking for our security'.

They go on and talk about 'blinky things' and 'doohickeys', it such a pathetic stereotype it's boarders on the xenophobic.

It's so bad I wonder if the people that produced and approved it know anything about Cisco, networks, or the people that might be interested in purchasing Cisco gear?

What were they thinking?

Monday, March 06, 2006

Disk crash

I forgot to mention in my last post that one of the reasons I've gone dark here at TumblingDuke was that my laptop's disk crashed.

I'm pretty spotty about backing up my data (but at least I do it), and it had been almost a month since I did it last. The thought of loosing a month's data/work/email was pretty terrifying. As far as stress goes, I think a disk crash ranks right up there with totaling your car.

I tried some of the free disk recovery tools that are available on the net, but none of them worked. Then I tried a commercial product for NTFS file recovery and it was able to identify all my files. Don't know much about the other products on the market, but I can personally recommend Stellar Phoenix.

It actually works! Cost me $100, but I felt it was a bargain. It was able to recover all but about 3 files. I was blown away.

Bought a new drive, upgraded Win2K pro to WinXP pro and was back in business.

Asside from suffering through a sleepless 36 hr. recovery/install/upgrade nightmare, I'm OK.

One lingering problem is that my wimpy old laptop freezes up occasionally, but I can live with that for a while before I have to replace the whole thing.....

Wednesday, March 01, 2006

Been out a while...

It's been a while since my last post. I haven't abandoned Tumbling Duke, it's just a that I've been preoccupied with some other things...

Related to that, some random observations:

1. Just about anything you can imagining building has a open source project for it.
2. Most open source projects are orphans.
3. Most open source software is buggy and unusable, except for the people that developed it
4. Mashups could be a lot easier to build
5. I remember now why I left programming.
6. Blogging is a lot of work and it's hard to maintain qualilty/quantity (non sequitur, I know, but still true).

Could go into more detail on each, but that's it for now.

Monday, February 06, 2006

More Spam Fraud

I've read a few more articles and posts (here, here and here) on the AOL/Yahoo initiatives to charge high volume senders and find myself in what seems to be the tiny minority of people that think this is a good thing.

Let's take a look at the constituents involved here and see who is better off, who is not, and who has an incentive to change.

If I have an email account with either Yahoo or AOL, I'm better off because I won't get as false positives (might even be able to avoid checking my blocked folder). I can't imagine that any user is going to be less happy with their service because they get less spam, so satisfaction improves.

If I'm AOL or Yahoo, I've got more satisfied users and I don't have to spend money constantly upgrading my spam filter technology. I'm much better off.

If I'm a legitimate individual sender to an A/Y user, I'm indifferent since I won't pay. Admittedly, my mail might get caught in a spam filter, but if I truly do have a relationship with the recipient, they'll put me on their whitelist.

If I'm a legitimate bulk mailer to an A/Y user, presumably the cost of a stamp is lower than the cost of trapped emails and the other means by which to communicate with the users. Granted, this is an assumption, but I'll give them the benefit of the doubt for now, since there must be a price at which this is true. Might in fact be $0.00, but I believe that it is a small positive value.

This will, of course, increase the cost of communicating with me. But that's fine too. I WANT them to examine weather or not sending me an email is worth it. If I bought a Widget from NetCo 8 yrs. ago and nothing since, what's wrong with NetCo simply reaching the obvious conclusion that I don't want any more DAMN WIDGETS!

If it's a charity or other non-profit, use this cost as a means to establish even stronger ties with someone by getting them to put you on their whitelist.

As I go down this list of constituents, I can't find any that are worse off.

The argument I frequently read is that spammer can now buy stamps and gain access to my inbox. This is a specious argument. Any reasonable estimates of the volume of spam, and the cost to buy stamps makes this strategy self limiting. Does anyone think that a spammer is going to pay even $0.0001 to send Viagra spam. Do the math. It doesn't add up.

The funny thing about markets is that they find their own equilibrum. If A/Y users find these efforts onerous or ineffective, they'll vote with their feet.

Saturday, February 04, 2006

Spam Fraud...

The recent announcement that Yahoo and AOL will start to charge bulk mail senders to bypass spam filters seems to be generating quite a controversy.

But it comes as no surprise to me that the only ones complaining are the free riders. I've read their arguments and they're all blatantly self serving.

The direct email marketers say they can't afford to send you their valuable 'Free Vacation' email because the economics don't add up.

Hello? That's the point!

The white list and reputation based 'bonded' emailer say that reputation is really the way to determine if a sender is legit or not. I'll agree that reputation might be a good way to determine legitimacy, but I'll never agree that reputation ought to mean someone should get something for nothing.

Matt Blumberg, CEO of bonded email provider ReturnPath, says in his corporate blog that:
"Email stamps also do feel like they put the world on a slippery slope towards paid spam -- towards saying that money matters more than reputation."
Not exactly sure what universe Matt lives in, because where I live, for these sorts of things, money does matter more than reputation. Will the bus take me downtown because I have a good reputation? Will a restaurant serve me a meal because I'm a good guy? Will the post office deliver my dad's mail to me without a stamp because I trust him?

To argue that reputation somehow trumps economics simply fails to acknowledge the fundamental problem of spam. The costs of spam are not incurred by the spammers. Imposing costs on volume senders is a modest effort to shift to them a greater share of the burden.

I'm all for businesses that can exploit economic inefficiencies (like free email), and legit direct email marketers have done just that. But you won't see any crocodile tears from me when something becomes more efficient (no free email). If your market gets more efficient (and they always do), change your business and adapt. Or die.

Any spam remediation system that doesn't address this is simply treating the symptoms, not the cause. Charging senders to send email makes the email economy more efficient. That can only be a good thing.

As far as I'm concerned, GoodMail is GreatMail.

I hope they are successful and that this evolves toward the recipient getting some of this revenue. Maybe Matt's idea of paid spam isn't so bad. If the price was right, I'd let spam into my inbox, no problem.

I'd love to see the day when we could start to worry about Spam Fraud.

Friday, February 03, 2006

It's sorta like the Y2K problem...

I read that Bill Gates' tax return is kept on a separate computer by the IRS. Apparently, the standard systems can't handle the large numbers....

I call this the Y2R problem. You're Too Rich.

Tuesday, January 24, 2006

Elevator Pitch...

Dave Cowan has a great post on what he expects to see in an elevator pitch. One thing I think he should have added is a rule to include a direct comparison to the next best alternative. Without this, there is no reference point. Without the reference point, how can you know what you're doing is any better? IMHO, this is key.

Its in his example, just not one of his rules.

My perspective on this comes right out of Geoffrey Moore's classic, Crossing the Chasm. I've gone to the pages on the elevator pitch so many times I can tell you without checking that it starts on page 154. There, he outlines a silly little exercise that mechanically creates an elevator pitch for you.

Simply fill in the blanks:
  1. For (target customer)
  2. Who are dissatisfied with (the current market alternative)
  3. Our product is a (new product category)
  4. That provides (key problem-solving capability)
  5. Unlike, (the next best alternative).
  6. We have assembled (whole product feature that creates the compelling reason to buy).

Simple as that.

I've done a fair amount of consulting for start ups and, without exception, the ones that are really messed up don't have a elevator pitch. They might think they have one, but it's probably not compelling (vitamin not an aspirin). That's the easiest kind of problem to fix. Just make it more compelling.

Easier said than done, right? Yes, but, once you know what you ought to be doing, its easier to prioritize your scarce resources based on the extent to which they contribute to fulfilling the value proposition described in the elevator pitch.

Assuming it's compelling, another common problem is for there to be 2, 3 or more different elevator pitches, depending on which prospects you're talking to. That's a company that, on the surface might seems successful (because they can sell to different kinds of customers), but ultimately will run into a ditch when it can't keep up with the demands of trying to execute on what might be 2, 3 or more different strategies.

Even worse than having a different pitch for different prospects is having 2, 3 or more pitches depending on which VP you talk to. That's always a sign of trouble.

Whenever I work with companies to help them figure out their strategy, I always start with developing an elevator pitch. I'm never surprised by the confusion it can sometimes cause.

I start by getting all the executives in a room and have them fill in the blanks above and see what they each come up with. I've done this about 20 times and I can now almost predict how successful the company is going to be, not by the answers to the questions, but rather by the consistency of the answers.

If the CEO says the product is for a CIO and the VP Engineering says its for sys admins, you're in trouble.

If the VP Engineering says the competition comes from systems integrators, but the VP Marketing says Cisco, you're in trouble.

If the sales guys says the customers buy because of price, it doesn't matter what anyone else says, you're in trouble.

It usually doesn’t start with everyone being on the same page, but getting people to discuss their choice of words reveals a lot about how the strategy is perceived internally. Sometimes these discussion can take days. In fact, I've witnessed management teams arguing about a single word in an elevator pitch for weeks. It is less filling? Or does it taste great?

Other times when the company seems to have their act together, even if they've never worked on an elevator pitch, the answers are remarkably consistent.

Everyone knows, for example, that the customer is the VP of Service, they compete directly with PeopleSoft, and they win business because their product integrates best with VoIP.

I completely agree that having an elevator pitch is essential, but it's just as important that everyone on the team knows what it is and are lined up behind it. You can always change the words. And often do, as circumstances change. But if the team isn't all pulling in the same direction, none of the words matter.

Sincere apologies, Google...

Got some quick feedback on my post about Google setting Third Party Cookies.

Thanks to Danny Sullivan at Search Engine Watch (via John Battelle) who set me straight with his post revealing that its Firefox prefetching the first listing in the search results. Google takes advantage of the Firefox/Mozilla feature that prefetches the first search result.

Clever feature I guess. But I'm going to turn it off.

Google says in their FAQ on prefetching that:
With prefetching enabled, you may end up with cookies and web pages in your web browser's cache from web sites that you did not click on since prefetching happens automatically when you view Google search results pages. You can delete these files by clearing your browser's cache and cookies
Apparently, this feature was launched back in March and discussed here at news.com. I guess I just missed it....